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Ukraine Update – Putin Looking For A Way Out?

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Ukraine Update – Putin Looking For A Way Out?

Sam Faddis
Feb 27, 2022
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Ukraine Update – Putin Looking For A Way Out?

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Russia is now getting ready to sit down with talks with Ukraine to discuss an end to the conflict it started only days ago. Putin has put his nuclear forces on alert and pointedly had his strategic bombers come up on the radio frequencies he knows we monitor. This is an obvious means of signaling to the West that it should not push him too far.

Twitter avatar for @BBCWorld
BBC News (World) @BBCWorld
Ukraine invasion: Putin puts nuclear forces on high alert
bit.lyUkraine invasion: Putin puts nuclear forces on high alertThe president blames “unfriendly” Western actions towards Russia following its invasion of Ukraine.
6:45 PM ∙ Feb 27, 2022
2,419Likes596Retweets
Twitter avatar for @AircraftSpots
Aircraft Spots @AircraftSpots
Russian Air Force strategic bombers continue to pass their encoded messages to Engels AB ground station "Katolik". Signal is strong from a remote receiver in Romania.
Image
4:03 AM ∙ Feb 24, 2022
386Likes160Retweets
Twitter avatar for @Reuters
Reuters @Reuters
Ukraine and Russia agree to talks without preconditions, Zelenskiy says reut.rs/35B8g4Q
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5:15 PM ∙ Feb 27, 2022
1,162Likes341Retweets

These are not the actions of a nation that is busy winning a war. These are the actions of a regime that is beginning to understand that it has started something that has turned out to be much more painful than anticipated. Can Russia still win this war? Maybe, but maybe not at what Putin deems an acceptable cost.

Ukrainian resistance to the Russian invasion is fierce.  If Putin was planning on showing us his version of “shock and awe” he seems to have discovered his military is not up to that task.

Arms and supplies are flooding into Ukraine from a host of nations. The Ukrainians whose military had already significantly retooled before war broke out are finding ready sources of arms to continue the fight.

Twitter avatar for @al_shepherd
Alistair Shepherd @al_shepherd
Very significant milestones and a whirlwind of tectonic shifts to European Security . Germany, Sweden, and EU all now directly supplying arms to Ukraine...Off to update my @InterpolAber lecture on German security policy for tomorrow!
Twitter avatar for @BBCRosAtkins
Ros Atkins @BBCRosAtkins
The EU says a 'taboo' has gone. It's just announced it will supply arms into a conflict for the first time. 2 mins on how Western military aid for Ukraine has escalated including a historic policy shift from Germany. Produced Harriet Ridley, Eliza Craston https://t.co/BKGrSNRAzh https://t.co/8x3LAx6OIG
7:15 PM ∙ Feb 27, 2022
Twitter avatar for @MayadeenEnglish
Al Mayadeen English @MayadeenEnglish
#Sweden will exceptionally break its doctrine of not sending arms to countries in "conflict". #Russia #Ukraine
en.mdn.tvSweden to supply Ukraine with arms in an ‘exceptional decision’Sweden will supply Ukraine with 135,000 field rations, 5,000 helmets, 5,000 body shields and 5,000 anti-tank weapons.
7:15 PM ∙ Feb 27, 2022

Heavy fighting continues across Ukraine including in the immediate vicinity of Kyiv the capital city. There is no indication that Ukrainian forces are backing down or fading away.

Twitter avatar for @CNN
CNN @CNN
CNN has geolocated video appearing to show the destruction by Ukrainian forces of a column of Russian armored personnel carriers and other vehicles on the edge of Kyiv, Ukraine: cnn.it/3hphHHk
4:56 PM ∙ Feb 27, 2022
3,336Likes773Retweets
Twitter avatar for @TheStudyofWar
ISW @TheStudyofWar
NEW #Ukraine Conflict Update: #Russian forces’ main axes of advance in the last 24 hours focused on #Kyiv, northeastern Ukraine, and southern Ukraine; Ukrainian resistance remains remarkably effective. isw.pub/UkraineConflic…
Image
2:05 AM ∙ Feb 27, 2022
1,900Likes1,022Retweets
Twitter avatar for @r_netsec
🇺🇦 Ukrainian Glory Forever 🇺🇦 @r_netsec
Russia’s foreign minister Lavrov said negotiations can begin once Russia “restores democratic order” in Ukraine. As Russian troops neared Kyiv, Ukrainian MP Oleksiy Goncharenko was asked to respond. He had a pretty clear answer.
4:55 AM ∙ Feb 27, 2022
55,106Likes15,010Retweets
Twitter avatar for @Biz_Ukraine_Mag
Business Ukraine mag @Biz_Ukraine_Mag
The Ukrainian Armed Forces are reporting the destruction of yet another Russian armored column. This time the hit was close to Pryluky in northern Ukraine's Chernihiv region, with around ten Russian tanks taken out
Image
4:27 PM ∙ Feb 27, 2022
185Likes47Retweets

The city of Kharkiv which has been under attack by Russian forces for days apparently remains in Ukrainian hands. Russian troops which entered the city have been driven out or killed.

Twitter avatar for @condorbox
Andrea C. @condorbox
Ukraine live: Ukrainians take ‘full control’ of Kharkiv after fighting back Russian troops - Evening Standard #news
news.google.comUkrainians take ‘full control’ of Kharkiv after fighting back Russian troops‘The city is being completely cleansed of the enemy’
7:32 PM ∙ Feb 27, 2022
1Like1Retweet

There continue to be persistent reports of Russian units running out of fuel and resorting to looting stores to obtain food. Video online also appears to show significant numbers of Russian prisoners who claim they did not even realize Putin intended to invade Ukraine and have no interest in fighting.

Twitter avatar for @Liveuamap
Liveuamap @Liveuamap
Video: Russian marauders robbing shops in Kharkiv
8:43 AM ∙ Feb 27, 2022
4,509Likes2,516Retweets
Twitter avatar for @mi6rogue
MI6 ROGUE  @mi6rogue
This video proves #Puyin even lied to his troops. “We went to the exercises, ended up here ”- a new video with a Russian prisoner. #UkraineUnderAttack
8:22 AM ∙ Feb 26, 2022
507Likes217Retweets

Still, this conflict is far from over. Reporting now indicates a three-mile-long column of Russian troops and vehicles is moving toward Kyiv to reinforce the troops already attempting to take that city.

Twitter avatar for @SkyNews
Sky News @SkyNews
BREAKING: Satellite firm Maxar says latest pictures show a large deployment of Russian ground troops moving towards Kyiv. The convoy, about 40 miles from the city, extends more than three miles and contains fuel and tanks. Latest: trib.al/QTC8as2 📺 Sky 501 and YouTube
7:38 PM ∙ Feb 27, 2022
305Likes269Retweets
Twitter avatar for @ckoettl
Christoph Koettl @ckoettl
Satellite images show large unit of Russian troops near #Kyiv. Hundreds of vehicles, around 40 miles NW of the capital. #Ukraine 🛰️📷@Maxar nytimes.com/live/2022/02/2…
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7:37 PM ∙ Feb 27, 2022
667Likes388Retweets

Time will tell how this conflict will end. The situation remains dire. What is clear already, though, is that Putin’s vision of a swift and easy victory has proved illusory.  He knows that full well and he is already at least considering finding a way out of the disaster this may become.

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Ukraine Update – Putin Looking For A Way Out?

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